D-1 to Election Day: How ...

How will South Koreans vote...

by Ian W


D-1 to Election Day: How will South Koreans vote, who are the swing voters?


We are now just a day way from the June 3rd Presidential Election, which will finally fill the country's months-long power vacuum. We have our political correspondent, Oh Soo-young, in studio to discuss how the race currently looks and what could determine its outcome. 1. Early voting closed last Friday, with quite a high turnout. Tell us more, and what might this indicate about the race?

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swing voter = floating voter 부동표 (유권자)

look (겉으로 보기에) …인 것 같다; …해[처럼] 보이다

turnout 투표율

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15.4 million out of 44.39 million eligible voters cast their ballots, according to preliminary figures, reaching 34-point-74 percent. It wasn't record-breaking as anticipated, as the figures began lagging on the second day of voting,.. but it still marks the second-highest turnout for early voting in a nationwide election since the system was first introduced in 2014. It means almost one in four people have already voted.

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cast one's ballots 투표하다

lag 처지다, 뒤떨어지다

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By region, the Honam area, traditionally a Democratic Party stronghold, once again recorded the highest turnout, surpassing 50 percent. Jeollanam-do Province posted the highest early voting rate at 56.50 percent.

In contrast, the lowest turnout was recorded in Daegu, a conservative People Power Party stronghold, at 25.63 --down from 33.9 in the last presidential election.

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stronghold (특히 특정 정당의) 지지 지역

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Another noteworthy point --early voting rates were lower than the national average in the Seoul capital area, which includes Incheon and Gyeonggi-do Province. These areas are considered swing voter strongholds with high proportions of undecided voters. Gyeonggi-do Province has the most voters, accounting for 26 percent of the population, followed by Seoul at 18-point-seven percent and Busan at 6.5 percent. So a high turnout rate in early voting in progressive regions of the country, indicates a stronger leaning towards the Democratic Party candidate, as polls have consistently shown.

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noteworthy point 주목할만한 점.

swing voter strongholds 부동표가 많은 지역

consistently 일관하여, 지속적으로

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But conservative voters tend to cast their votes on the actual election day, and undecided voters have time, so there's room to flip the race with a very small margin. 2. And speaking of swing voters, you've said it's people in their 20s and 30s who are a major force in determining the result. We discussed this before but it really does come down to the swing voters in any election with very established political factions.

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flip 홱 뒤집(히)다, 휙 젖히다[젖혀지다]

come down to 결국 ~이 되다, ~에 이르다

established 인정받는, 확실히 자리를 잡은

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Against the backdrop of strong regionalism seen over the decades, we're seeing distinct generational differences emerge as a major factor. People in their forties and fifties tend to be left-leaning, while those in their 60s, 70s, and over are traditionally conservative. This in recent years has led to very close races. Those aged 39 and under are significantly smaller in number but could largely impact the outcome, as they did in the last presidential election.

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(Zoom_04:32) "So the 20s and 30s crowds they are not really or they're less tied to any party or any region. So younger voters are done playing by political rules written even before they were born. So they could they couldn't care less about just the political brands or who your political mentor was and those kind of stuff. So these young voters they want real opportunities real policies that actually make a difference to their lives.

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care less 무관심한, 무심한

make a difference 영향을 주다; 중요하다; 플러스[도움]가 되다

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" For young voters,. their biggest concerns are employment and social security. They want change to reform the overstretched national pension and health insurance system --which they're paying for but are unlikely to benefit from. They'd also like to see steps towards environmental sustainability and a vision for the country Among the 20s and 30s age groups, there has been a growing number of those backing Reform Party candidate Lee Jun-seok.

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overstretched 감당할 수 없을 정도로 펼쳐진

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But his support base is precarious, as 20 and 30-somethings tend to have a lower turnout, and they're open to changing their minds. Of course, Lee has also faced systematic limitations as a third-party candidate. (06:29) "So Korea's presidential election is based on this system, so winner takes all no runoffs, and that favors the big two parties and that crushes anything in between. So South Korean voters tend to think, why waste my vote on someone who can't win so they hold their noses and vote for the lesser evil.

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precarious 불안정한, 위태로운

winner takes all no runoffs 승자가 결선투표 없이 모든 것을 독차지 한다.

favor ~ 에 유리하다

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So compare that to for example, New Zealand. So, since adopting what we call mixed-member proportional system in the 90s the coalition politics has become the norm here." 3. Now this is an unusual election as it's occurring two years ahead of schedule, after the impeachment of former President Yoon Suk Yeol. Yes. So that means the next President will take power within hours after a clear winner emerges --in the early hours of Wednesday.

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proportional system 비례제

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We can expect an inauguration ceremony that day, and the next leader assuming his duties straight away. There won't be a transition committee that helps the new administration learn the ropes, so it will have to land running. All three main candidates have indicated they'll attend to economic matters first. (10:05) "The first domestic priority must be fixing the economy for ordinary people, period.

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inauguration ceremony 취임식

land running 경영[운영]을 차지[획득]하다

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So whether it's Lee Jae-myung or someone else, there's no room for a ceremonial wafer or something, sky-high prices, unemployment, housing market shocks, and struggling small businesses. Younger people are frustrated about their economic situation, they are crushing the Korean public. So Korean people are not just frustrated, they're exhausted.

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So the new president must immediately start addressing those cost-of-living pressures and job market issues, especially for young people." Polls will be open Tuesday from 6 AM till 8 PM. Arirang News will be holding special newscasts throughout the day. Thanks for coming in today Sooyoung.

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영어 원문 출처 및 동영상 링크;

arirang news/Nat'l/Politics

https://m.arirang.com/news/view?id=283934