Israel , Iran Conflict

#Israel_Iran_Conflict

Here’s the latest on the unfolding Israel–Iran conflict as of June 16, 2025:

#Operation_Rising_Lion

Conflict Overview

• Israel launched “Operation Rising Lion” on June 13, a large-scale air and Mossad covert drone strike targeting around 100 Iranian nuclear and military sites, reportedly including air-defense systems and missile infrastructure  .

• Iran responded early June 13–14, firing over 150 ballistic missiles and 100+ drones at Israel—codenamed “Operation True Promise III.” Israel intercepted ~80–90%; some missiles struck major cities including Tel Aviv and Haifa. Casualties include at least 24 Israeli civilians and dozens killed in Iran, including senior commanders and nuclear scientists .

• This marks the fourth day of direct military exchanges between the two nations, with both continuing strikes and no signs of ceasefire .

Recent Developments

• Civilian toll: Israeli media reports at least 14 civilian deaths and hundreds injured in missile strikes; in Iran, the civilian toll has been much higher—up to 406 in some estimates .

• Iran may exit NPT: Tehran’s parliament is considering withdrawal from the Nuclear Non‑Proliferation Treaty in response to Israeli attacks on its nuclear facilities .

• Diplomatic fallout: Iran has halted nuclear negotiations with the U.S. “until further notice” following Israel’s airstrikes .

• Global reactions: Russia has offered to mediate and potentially host Iran’s enriched uranium; Western leaders stressed the risk of regional escalation .

Broader Implications

1. Risk of regional escalation: Iran’s proxies in Lebanon, Yemen, Syria, and Iraq may amplify the conflict through coordinated attacks, threatening broader instability .

2. Energy market volatility: Oil prices have spiked due to uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz; shipping insurers and airlines are adjusting their exposure .

3. Israel’s economy at risk: S&P and Moody’s have downgraded Israel’s credit outlook citing prolonged conflict risks .

4. Nuclear brinkmanship: Iran’s ramp-up in uranium enrichment (60%+ stockpile growth) and halt to talks make nuclear volatility more probable .

Key Players & Dynamics

• Israeli PM Netanyahu frames this as a historic move against what he sees as existential nuclear threats .

• US stance: Former President Trump claims the U.S. isn’t directly involved, but warns military involvement is possible. The U.S. is reinforcing Israel’s air defenses .

• Iranian leadership: Supreme Leader Khamenei and parliament signal readiness to escalate if dire threats continue .

What to Watch

• Whether Iran presses forward with missile/drone strikes or activates proxy forces.

• If international mediators (e.g., Russia, UN, US, EU) succeed in pushing for a ceasefire or interim agreement.

The trajectory of Iran’s nuclear policy, particularly any formal NPT exit or stockpile increases.

Broader regional security—especially impacts on shipping and air travel through the Red Sea and Gulf.

Overall, this is the first truly overt, state vs. state exchange between Israel and Iran in decades—marking a serious escalation from the prior shadow war.

The conflict remains highly fluid with significant humanitarian, geopolitical, and energy-security repercussions.

#IDF

#IsraeliAttacker