저출산의 역습
811화. 출생혁명 대한민국
2. Emergency Declaration to the People
The Korea Titanic is sinking.
We must urgently board the new Titanic.
The state has no plan, no responsibility, no competence.
If the people don’t act on their own—everyone dies.
From 2024, the counter-attack of low birthrate began.
The economy will be the first to collapse.
One day, 5 years from now, national panic.
One day, 10 years from now, South Korea’s Doomsday.
20 years from now, one million deaths annually.
The fall of a nation
The extinction of a people
It’s already scheduled.
So what if it comes five years late? Destiny doesn’t care.
● As of 2025, the Crisis Is Real.
The 3 Highs: High interest rates, high exchange rates, high inflation.
The 2 Lows: Low growth, deep recession.
Total debt: $6 trillion. Government, corporations, individuals, self-employed.
That’s about 300% of GDP.
● Plus, One Million People Disappear Every Year.
That's 2% of Korea’s population of 51 million—every year.
No one can survive that.
And nobody cares.
1. 500,000 working-age people disappear annually.
From 2024, half a million people of working age vanish every year. Endless. Irreversible.
A parade of collapse has begun—Tax revenue down. Budgets slashed. Health insurance deficit. Domestic demand falls. Collapse will hit every sector.
2. 500,000 newborns disappear annually.
To maintain population, we need 700,000 births per year (total fertility rate 2.1). In 2024, total fertility rate fell to 0.7. Only 240,000 births. Every year, half a million babies vanish. Endless. Irreversible.
A shutdown parade has begun—Preschools, elementary/middle/high schools, universities, the military, companies, the nation, the people—All heading toward extinction.
4. The Counter-Attack of Low Birthrate
It has already begun nationwide in 2024. It lasts forever.
● The Preparatory Phase of the Counter-Attack
1. 1983–Korea’s first low birthrate
The total fertility rate first dropped below 2.1, the level needed to maintain population.
After 20 years, 2002, South Korea made it to the World Cup semifinals for the first time.
That same year, the total fertility rate fell below 1.3. In demographics, this is called a Code Red.
But the people had no idea how serious it was.
After 16 years, 2018– The total fertility rate dropped to 0.9.
After 5 years, 2023–0.7. Dead last #1 in global low birthrate.
In trying to raise one child well, people have ended up having none.
2. 42 years of low birthrate
Since the early 2000s, the government stepped in.
They say they’ve spent $380B on birthrate policies.
Zero effect.
It turned out not to be true, just an excuse.
3. Warning
For over 40 years, the damage was limited.
Fewer students. Schools closed—no big deal.
A few colleges now shutting down, especially in rural areas, unable to fill seats.
Total population started shrinking in 2022, but barely—thanks to foreign labor.
Military reform downsized the army from 600K to 500K.
The majority of citizens felt no pain.
● The Launch of the Counter-Attack
Starting 2024 at last, the revenge of low birthrate began.
This time, it hits everyone.
A nationwide carpet bombing—not a one-time event.
It begins with economic collapse and continues until the nation falls, the people vanish.
The impact of low birthrate and population decline takes not just years, but decades to truly appear.
But once it starts, it never stops.
Now: tax revenue drops.
government spending drops.
consumer demand drops.
All sectors, all citizens—direct hit. Continuous. Irreversible.
● The Progress of the Counter-Attack (Summary)
■ By sector
1. Collapse of the national health insurance system
2. Collapse of the government budget
3. Collapse of domestic demand
4. Collapse across all sectors
■ By timeline
1. One day, 5 years from now, national panic must begin.
2. One day, 10 years from now, South Korea’s Doomsday must break out.
3. 20 years from now, one million deaths annually.
4. The fall of a nation
5. The extinction of a people
● The Progress of the Counter-Attack
■ By sector
1. Collapse of the national health insurance system
A study by Professor Kim Yoon-Hee’s team at Inha University Medical School, titled “Fiscal Forecast of the National Health Insurance (NHI) and Key Assumptions”
Annual NHI expenditure stands at $100 billion.
Deficit projections:
2024: $1 billion (1% deficit)
2030: $14 billion (14% deficit)
2036: $40 billion (40% deficit)
2042: $81 billion (81% deficit)
If current spending continues, cumulative deficit will hit $563 billion by 2042.
$28 billion in reserve funds will be completely drained by 2029.
The analysis assumes that the current health insurance premium rate of 7.09% will exceed the legal cap of 8.0%, rising by 2.09 percentage points each year.
It also assumes that the government will continue to contribute 14% of total premium revenues annually as a subsidy.
Even with tens of millions of citizens paying more than 10% of their income in premiums,
and the government injecting tens of $ billion every year, the system still accumulates astronomical deficits—a clear sign that South Korea’s national health insurance is fundamentally unsustainable.
Source: Korea Economic Daily, July 8, 2024
Cause: Low birthrate = fewer payers. Aging population = exploding medical costs
2. Collapse of the government budget
Annual government budget: $650 billion in 2024
Starting 2024, tax revenue and budget drops by $10 billion every year.
That’s 1.4% of the total budget.
Ten years later: $100 billion less in annual revenue.
Budget shrinks to $550 billion, then $450 billion, $350 billion, $250 billion...
Cause: The annual loss of 500,000 working-age people.
3. Collapse of domestic demand
Domestic demand has declined for 12 consecutive quarters—the longest drop in history.
Businesses and small shops survived COVID-19 through loans.
They expected a rebound.
Instead, what came was worse than the 1997 IMF crisis.
Mass bankruptcies are underway.
3 Highs: high interest rates, high exchange rates, high inflation.
2 Lows: low growth, economic stagnation.
Plus: Domestic demand drops 1.4% annually.
That’s 14% in 10 years.
Small businesses and corporations go bankrupt → banks follow suit.
Cause: The annual loss of 500,000 working-age people and 500,000 newborns.
4. Collapse across all sectors
□ Just examples: health insurance, the government budget, and domestic demand.
□ Everything collapses: politics, economy, society, culture—national defense, diplomacy...
Cause: The annual loss of 500,000 working-age people and 500,000 newborns.
■ By timeline
So what if it comes five years late? Destiny doesn’t care.
It’s bound to happen—no matter what.
1. One day, 5 years from now, national panic must begin.
The people will finally recognize the counter-attack of low birthrate—and realize that it is continuous, irreversible, and comes with neither plan nor hope.
They will discover that hell awaits.
Mass panic. Mass emigration.
A total halt in childbirth...
Without hope, one cannot endure.
2. One day, 10 years from now, South Korea’s Doomsday must break out.
The Great Depression never comes with a warning.
One day, out of nowhere—stock market crashes, real estate collapses.
Then the entire national system breaks down.
South Korea’s working-age population is shrinking by 500,000 every year.
That number is predictable.
But the economy?
Once it hits the tipping point, it crumbles overnight.
Ten years from now, economic collapse begins.
Ten times worse than the 1997 IMF crisis.
Relentless. Irreversible.
Will the IMF lend us dollars again?
They're already warning of South Korea's demographic extinction.
What if they don’t lend? Imports of food, energy—everything—come to a full stop.
We become Venezuela.
Grocery stores, supermarkets, convenience stores—empty.
No heating in winter. Shivering. Elevators stop.
We’ll be walking 30 floors.
Farming, fishing, livestock—all halt. Mass starvation.
Hospitals shut down. No medicine.
Elderly who rely on drugs to live?
Swept away.
Suicides, robberies, murders—rampant.
Mass exodus from the Korean Peninsula.
What happened to that country?
Sudden collapse. A rich oil nation, overnight, 95% of its people fall into absolute poverty. The wealthy and middle class digging through trash for food. The difference? They still have the world’s largest oil reserves. If needed, they can dig it up and bounce back.
Why are you fearmongering?
Me? It’s simple. No dollars means no imports of food and energy. That’s just fact.
But we’ve got foreign investors.
Are you stupid? Why would anyone risk their life-earned money on a failed country? There are plenty of safer places to invest.
We have over $400 billion in foreign reserves. We can hold out and find a way.
Not really. Pay off external debts and we’re left with little net assets. It’ll dry up fast.
Well, we’ll just have more babies.
Oh sure. Once the electricity’s gone, it’ll be pitch black after sunset. No condoms. No birth control. Just like Africa, we’ll have a population boom. If we’re lucky and committed, maybe we can repopulate. Total fertility rate 6.3. That’s nine times higher than today’s 0.7.
See? It’s doable.
Ha… Just like post-Korean War days. The baby boomers. Living on $2–$3 a day, covering food, clothing, shelter, and education. No transport costs. Forget cars—even buses and taxis didn’t exist.
This is serious. But I live in Seoul. The damage will hit last. We’ll find a way somehow.
The whole Korea Titanic is sinking. What good is first class or the captain’s suite?
Then I’ll emigrate.
As a refugee? A boat person? Which country would welcome you?
So what are we supposed to do?
Do we really have to go through that chaos and panic? Do we really want to crash back to the 1960s overnight? If we act now, we can still enjoy life and happiness. If we stabilize population, becoming a strong nation comes as a bonus. Now there are only two paths: we all live, or we all die.
3. 20 years from now, one million deaths annually.
Mass deaths among baby boomers will begin in earnest.
One million deaths per year for 16 years—16 million will be gone.
Following the annual loss of 500,000 working-age people, the entire population will begin to collapse.
Only 240,000 babies were born last year.
South Korea will lose 800,000 people every year—a nation in free fall.
That amounts to 1.5% of the nation’s entire population of 51 million.
4. The fall of a nation
Politics, economy, society, culture, education, national defense, diplomacy...
All sectors collapse.
5. The extinction of a people
Every generation, the population drops by two-thirds. That is each generation loses two-thirds of its people. 51 million → 17 million → 6 million → 2 million... South Koreans become a minority. Eventually absorbed by North Korea, China, or Japan.
North Korea's total fertility rate is 1.9—far better than South Korea’s. They will overtake in population. China 1.0 and Japan 1.2 have similar total fertility rates, but their populations are much larger—1.4 billion and 120 million respectively. Even with decline, they will remain vastly bigger than South Korea. What can a nation of 2 million do? Even during the Three Kingdoms era 1,400 years ago, Korea had more people than that.
Will a total fertility rate of 2.1 someday restore the population? Never. That only maintains the current level. If South Korea drops to 17 million, a 2.1 total fertility rate will keep it at 17 million. To return to 51 million? We'd need a total fertility rate of 6.3—six babies per woman. Impossible.
출생혁명ㅡ저출산 원천 해법서
아마존 검색: the birth revolution sikyun
