Risky bets on stable coin and Libra
Ever since human race started to produce,
then promote the value for trading, birth of
marketplace led to rise of finance with currency at its core introducing the world of trust and credibility. Transaction activities expanded not only market but also territories of commerce exponentially, shaping up the long history of past and modern economy and the world we live in today powered by digital technology. Historical transition of finance has resulted
in centralized system of government and
authorities such as banking, finance, and trade with policy makers handling over regulations. Regardless of pros and cons, such transformation led us from period of survival to abundance and prosperity. We work, earn, pay,
and eat. Simplest way for good living.
Financial ecosystem was accelerated toward new era with most innovative invention in
human history called internet, connecting
entire world in the form of online network.
The way of traditional financial system such
as money transfer, remittance, deposit, and withdraw changed entirely. Its economic
effect was so huge that international trade and finance were never the same. What we see today is the outcome of internet revolution.
However, rise of cyber threats highlighted by hacking and ADTs such as DDoS attacks challenged current centralized nature of internet and governance, putting data privacy at
enormous risk. Then here comes Bitcoin and blockchain to challenge current system and
structure while providing decentralized
application for possible solutions.
Since then, cryptocurrency became core
features of blockchain projects and related
business. The critical downside was that
majority of ambitious projects never lived up
to hype and stable coin was one of them until now.
Stable coin projects such as Tether, TrueUSD, DAI, and BASIS showed ups and downs.
None of them were stable enough to be the
best practice except for arbitrage in crypto
exchange for trading. There were continuous issues regarding transparency of actual reserve amount, value protection model, and technical roadmap. They were not tested enough, therefore competence was not there.
Here is the thing that crypto projects have been overlooking. They underestimated Central Bank. In state of every nation, there is a central bank that oversees domestic and international finance ecosystem under regulation of
government. That is the fact that will not
change regardless of scalability or benefactors of crypto-related projects. It is just that
simple. Finances such as banking, transaction, payment, trade, or any other activities that consumes the use of monetary values runs
deeply in the vein of entire economy.
Cryptocurrency can be very useful alternative, but it is still considered as an option.
Currency has very clear features and functions; store of value, medium of exchange.
Cryptocurrency was not able to match and
deliver equilibrium of same value to the
industries and users.
Furthermore, token economy is thrown around way too often, and its concept has lost its
credibility and adaptability, mostly due to lack of execution of featured roadmap and technical advancement. Without realizing hidden
logic and science behind fiat-currency, it is
just a long shot. Printing money for spending
is not how currency work. The standard for
global currency exchange is still US Dollar.
This goes way beyond the borders.
Common elements of the nation are language, territory, ethnicity, culture, and sovereignty. Every country has built its own legal system
structured under regulations and policies
especially regarding finances in order to main the national power, domestic market, clear-cut national identity, and sovereignty. Modern warfare has already generational shift toward financial power with strength of currency,
system, and multi-national corporations.
This logic becomes more rational when you
think of the United States, maintaining its global prowess over politics, trade and finance,
and technology with mostly globally used currency, US Dollar along with influences of tech giants in geopolitical scale. Current ordinary
of US Dollar is traced all the way back to the
Bretton Woods Agreement after the World
War II, institutionalizing dollar’s importance
over global economic recovery, especially for Europe and Asia while officially ending gold
standard since gold reserve ran out for
supporting the war by European countries.
Dollar was in heavy demand by other countries as they tried to rebuild the economic and
financial stability following up on the aftermath of the war. International trade and finance
were dominated by dollar. This became the
new order of modern global currency in
geopolitical scale. Even though more than 60 years has passed since that point, mechanism is same after all. This is how complicated
currency standard is. Countries forcefully
agreed upon dollar standard as global currency, and such landscape is more similar to
originally intended blockchain technical
scheme and cryptocurrency ecosystem
under the name of consensus algorithm for
decentralization. Stability works both ways
with central banks and federal reserves. Its
system and structure may differ by each
country, however logic behind it is same.
It has to go through centralized system to
gain stability and credibility for any currency
to maintain its stature. On global scale with
involvement of multiple nations, regulatory
issues stretch out even further due to stability, volatility, privacy, security concerns considering anonymity, money laundering, and
counterfeiting.
Since the public announcement of Facebook’s Libra, its mission for stabilizing and utilizing
stable coin as global currency for use cases
such as purchase, remittance, and donation
through crypto wallet called Calibra all under control of Libra Association, collective governing body with participants including, Visa, MasterCard, PayPal, eBay, Uber, Lyft, Spotify, Andreessen Horowitz, and Facebook itself. You
can imagine this as digital version of centralized governance. Libra differentiated itself by
pegging its value to real-world assets in
reserve. However, values of assets, like
mentioned previously, is under the valuation of other regulatory or commercial parties.
Federal Reserve and policy makers of the
United States already issued serious concern about Libra’s stable coin and its business
while Indian government already regulated
the law banning dealings of cryptocurrency
and virtual coins. French government mentioned about Libra coin should be limited to
transaction purposes only instead of position itself as sovereign currency. Moreover, cryptocurrency has not reached a point of sale in
convenience like mobile payment to customers. It does not bring any significant benefits to its users yet. That matters in terms of
customers’ value.
Libra’s scalability will disturb, not disrupt, the
financial ecosystem, thus Libra’s ecosystem
is built upon the reserve of real-world assets of which is based on the valuation of assets
determined by government and regulatory
and monetary system directly related to central bank. As long as asset valuation is under
the control of any form of centralized, decentralization under the name of cryptocurrency
is hard to be executed. Blockchain is rather
different case.
Blockchain-powered system or infrastructure can be operated independently or separately within its sector and boundary. It has the clarity about service provider and beneficiaries.
Especially, payment with blockchain is adoptable. Payment system can be upgraded significantly through technical features of blockchain including P2P direct payment in global scale along with remittance, direct transfer without intermediaries while saving time, cost, and
paperwork.
Besides, regulatory issues, stable coin should be executing value protection program and
solution toward privacy, authentication, and
anti-money laundering. Until now, stable coin has not reach any success of doing it so. If
there can ever be true crypto stable coin
worldwide, then we may need a roundtable
for new Bretton Woods Agreement.