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India_Pakistan Conflict

by Andrew Oh

The India–Pakistan conflict is one of the world’s longest-running and most complex geopolitical rivalries, rooted in the 1947 partition of British India and extending through wars, insurgencies, nuclear arms races, and diplomatic crises.


Below is a structured overview to help you grasp its historical, political, and strategic dimensions.



1. Historical Background


Partition of British India (1947)


When British India was divided into India and Pakistan (East & West) in 1947, the Radcliffe Line demarcated the new border.


Kashmir, a princely state with a Muslim-majority population but a Hindu ruler (Maharaja Hari Singh), became the central dispute:


Pakistan wanted it to join Pakistan on religious grounds.

The Maharaja initially wanted independence but eventually acceded to India after tribal militias from Pakistan invaded.


This triggered the First Indo-Pakistani War (1947–48).


2. Major Wars and Conflicts


War / Conflict Year Trigger Outcome


First Kashmir War

1947–1948 Invasion of Kashmir by tribal forces from Pakistan

Ceasefire brokered by UN; Kashmir divided by Line of Control (LoC)


Second War

1965 Pakistan’s Operation Gibraltar (inciting rebellion in Indian Kashmir) Stalemate; Tashkent Agreement (1966) mediated by USSR


Third War 1971

India’s intervention in East Pakistan (Bangladesh Liberation War) Decisive Indian victory; Bangladesh created


Kargil War 1999

Pakistani infiltration into Indian territory in Kargil (after nuclear tests) India recaptured territory; Pakistan faced global condemnation


3. Key Disputed Region: Kashmir


The Line of Control (LoC) divides Indian-administered Jammu & Kashmir and Pakistan-administered Azad Jammu & Kashmir (AJK).


India claims the entire region as its integral part; Pakistan calls it “disputed territory.”


The area remains heavily militarized, and both sides accuse each other of sponsoring cross-border terrorism.


Strategic significance:

Source of major rivers (Indus system).

Glaciers (Siachen, Kargil) vital for water security and military logistics.

Symbol of national identity for both nations.


4. Nuclearization and Deterrence


Event Year Significance


India’s “Smiling Buddha” test 1974 First nuclear test in South Asia


Pakistan’s Chagai-I tests

1998 Response to India’s Pokhran-II; declared itself a nuclear power


Kargil War (1999)

Proved both countries could engage in limited conflict even under nuclear deterrence (“stability–instability paradox”)


Both nations maintain credible minimum deterrence doctrines but differ in nuclear posture:


India No-First-Use (NFU) policy.

Pakistan First-Use reserved if conventional defense fails.


5. Diplomacy and Peace Efforts


Simla Agreement (1972) – reaffirmed the LoC and commitment to bilateral negotiation.


Lahore Declaration (1999) – peace initiative before Kargil War.

• Agra Summit (2001) – failed to reach lasting agreement.

• Composite Dialogue (2004–2008) – included trade, culture, people-to-people contact.

• Collapsed after the 2008 Mumbai attacks (by Pakistan-based militants).


Recent attempts:


2019 Balakot airstrikes & Pulwama attack reignited tensions.

Abrogation of Article 370 (2019) by India changed Jammu & Kashmir’s constitutional status—Pakistan strongly protested.



6. Regional and Global Dimensions


China: Pakistan’s key strategic ally (CPEC, defense). India opposes Chinese presence in Gilgit-Baltistan.

U.S.: Historically balanced ties—supported Pakistan during Cold War; later aligned more with India post-2000s.

Russia: Long-time Indian defense partner.

OIC & Gulf states: Traditionally supported Pakistan diplomatically, though now balancing with India’s trade leverage.


7. Current Status (as of 2025)

Ceasefire along LoC since February 2021 largely holds.

India prioritizes internal security and infrastructure in Kashmir (tunnels, railways, tourism).

Pakistan focuses on economic recovery and balancing China-U.S. relations.

Cross-border militancy remains a flashpoint, but full-scale war is unlikely due to nuclear deterrence and international pressure.


8. Summary Table


Dimension India’s Position Pakistan’s Position


Kashmir Integral part of India Disputed territory; seeks self-determination


Nuclear Doctrine

No-First-Use First-Use possible


Alliances

U.S., Russia, Quad China, OIC, Turkey

Ideological Basis Secular democracy Islamic republic


Current Focus

Infrastructure & counterterrorism Economic stabilization & diplomacy



Would you like me to add:

a timeline map showing key battles (1947–1999), or

a comparative defense capability chart (India vs Pakistan) up to 2025?

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