Trump, TACO

by Andrew Oh

#Trump

#TACO



Here’s the lowdown on TACO — “Trump Always Chickens Out”:




What it is


Origin: Coined by Financial Times columnist Robert Armstrong on May 2, 2025, to describe Trump’s pattern of threatening steep tariffs then delaying or reversing them as markets panicked .


Meaning: Markets learned that behind bold tariff rhetoric lies a tendency to yield — leading to the acronym T-A-C-O as shorthand .




How it plays out


Market reaction: Stocks plunge on tariff news, only to recover once delays or reversals occur — the textbook “TACO trade” .


• Notable episodes:


• April “Liberation Day” tariffs announced then immediately shelved — markets surged .

• June delay of EU tariffs until July 9 triggered a rebound .

• Latest July delay to August 1 also calmed nerves




Recent developments


• On July 8, Trump delayed global tariffs again from July 9 to August 1 — investors shrugged it off thanks to “TACO trade” expectations .


• Financial Times warns that if Trump actually follows through with hefty 50–200% tariffs (like on pharmaceuticals), the “TACO” safety net might erode .


• The Atlantic Court, the U.S. Court of International Trade, ruled against his “Liberation Day” tariffs on May 28, citing overreach under IEEPA .




Cultural ripple effects


• Big time meme energy: internet exploded with tacos featuring Trump’s face and chickens on his head .


• Trump didn’t love it — he called a reporter’s reference to “chickening out” a “nasty question” .




Summary


TACO is shorthand for Trump’s playbook — big tariff threats followed by retreats when pressure mounts.


Markets have learned to anticipate this pattern and often price accordingly. But analysts caution: if Trump ever abandons the backtrack, TACO could suddenly trigger volatility instead of relief.




#TrumpAlwaysChickensOut

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